Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GOMBE-22 in Madagascar from 07 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC to 08 Mar 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GOMBE-22

in Madagascar

08 Mar 2022 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC
Primary source
WMO-RSMC La Réunion
Beta version

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GOMBE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2022-000182-MDG
Exposed countries	Madagascar
Exposed population	100 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (11 Mar 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Madagascar)
Landfall	between 10 Mar 2022 18:00 - 11 Mar 2022 18:00 in Mozambique

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 540000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	111	1000 thousand	No people	Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	130	4.9 million	230 thousand	Mozambique
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	139	8.1 million	540 thousand	Mozambique

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	07 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-15.6, 51.3
2	08 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-15.4, 49.4	Madagascar
3	08 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	400000 people	-15.1, 47.6	Madagascar
3	09 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	360000 people	-15.1, 46
3	09 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	-15.2, 44.6
3	10 Mar 2022 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	-15.4, 43.2
3	10 Mar 2022 18:00	Category 1	139	260000 people	4.2 million people	-15.6, 42.2
3	11 Mar 2022 18:00	Category 1	120	300000 people	6.4 million people	-15.9, 39.6	Mozambique
3	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	5.1 million people	-16.1, 38.1	Mozambique
3	13 Mar 2022 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-17.1, 38	Mozambique

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mozambique

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Nampula	Mozambique
Zambezia	Mozambique

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Quinga		Mozambique

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Quinga, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (148 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 08 Mar 2022 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Quinga	Mozambique	0.7
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Metula	Mozambique	0.7
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Muaco	Mozambique	0.6
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Nhangau	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Chamba	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Beira	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Damiao	Mozambique	0.5
	11 Mar 2022 16:00	Namacoto	Mozambique	0.5
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Chofandicho	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Manica	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Panaca	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Manehoko	Madagascar	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Maconharumo	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Tama	Mozambique	0.4
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Jonja	Mozambique	0.4
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambatomainty	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Machesse	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Nova Sofala	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ambato	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Nantapa	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Antanamazava	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Bingue	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Rupia	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Antanimandry	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Tanambao	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Anjabe	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andranomena	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Anjiabe	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 13:00	Namuali	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andriana	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 12:00	Momade	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Amado	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Vila do Chinde	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Nosy Faly	Madagascar	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Mulia	Mozambique	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambatoxavavy	Madagascar	0.3
	11 Mar 2022 09:00	Barroa	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Ocone	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Chimuaza	Mozambique	0.3
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Nhamatamanga	Mozambique	0.3
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Antonibe	Madagascar	0.3
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Andrafia	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Quelimane do Sal	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Inhangulue	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Magromane	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Ankinganomby	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Barra	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 15:00	Natiquinde	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Matahibory	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambalatsingy	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 10:00	Metopa	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 16:00	Metapa	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Anjiajia	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Amboaboaka	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 01:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Caramaca	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Mendozo	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Tomodo	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambodibonara	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Mailakapasy	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Voloina	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Manambia	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Mutiba	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Tsaratanana	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Anantoraka	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Anjajavy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Bobasakoa	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 05:00	Mocareja	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 16:00	Caliua	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 16:00	Raraga	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maroantsetra	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Andranofotsy	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Tsianinkiro	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 14:00	Morrua	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 15:00	Carramali	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 15:00	Bajone	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Chiloane	Mozambique	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 02:00	Mahalevona	Madagascar	0.2
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Benjana	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Analalava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Mahabo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ambaliha	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antsahampano	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ambondrombe	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Pebane	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampasindava	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antaribao	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ankinganifahatelo	Madagascar	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambaramidada	Madagascar	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 13:00	Mutadua	Mozambique	0.2
	12 Mar 2022 08:00	Murrumuana	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andranira	Madagascar	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 15:00	Larde	Mozambique	0.2
	11 Mar 2022 15:00	Coropoa	Mozambique	0.2
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antetikireja	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ankazomalemy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Fadrina	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 04:00	Terrene	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 03:00	Chululu	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 03:00	Ampasitsilavitra	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Ankazobe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambanisanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 08:00	Ambatobe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Ambanizana	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ankaranakatra	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 05:00	Coluvelane	Mozambique	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 22:00	Napito	Mozambique	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 04:00	Rantabe	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Maintimbato	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 03:00	Tampolo	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 22:00	Ampitily	Madagascar	0.1
	08 Mar 2022 21:00	Marovoha	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antananabe	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Bejongoro	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampandrano	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Anjiamalandy	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andrafialava	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Mandrony	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Anorotsangana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromokotra	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromanjo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Madirotelo	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Andamoty	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Marokitrana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampiambesa	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Bevoay	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Antetezampolaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Maromandia	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 07:00	Ali	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 06:00	Moebase	Mozambique	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Bartolomeu Dias	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Marovato	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampasibe	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Kamendriky	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampohana	Madagascar	0.1
	11 Mar 2022 23:00	Namorre	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Singalana	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 05:00	Antsianitia	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampombilava	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Andemba	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Ampanihy	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Reharaka	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Ampapamena	Madagascar	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 10:00	Masokoamena	Madagascar	0.1
	12 Mar 2022 18:00	Jo	Mozambique	0.1
	09 Mar 2022 07:00	Ampasimpilily	Madagascar	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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